Monday, November 3, 2014

HLF Earnings Trading move analysis



1) HLF Options OI: P/C ratio around 2.5. Option premiums are higher than usual. Max upmove(if any ) this week is @ 60. Max downmove (if any) @43. 

StrikePutsLastChgBidAskVolOpen Int
4311/7/20141.5-0.41.281.47248099
4411/7/20141.57-0.641.451.68398163
4711/7/20142.32-0.582.092.451244
4911/7/20143-0.852.722.99118941
54.511/7/20145.55-0.955.35.6240210
CallsLastChgBidAskVolOpen Int
5511/7/20142.950.952.753.236551
57.511/7/20142.210.9322.23258112
5911/7/20141.690.621.411.9472242
6011/7/20141.420.541.171.6435262


3) Technically, stock is oversold and medium term technicals are looking for a bounce. Price closed above 5 week/ 5 day High EMAs. MACD is looking good for a reversal. 53.6 level is crucial.  Max upmove(if any ) this week is @ 62-63.(Trendline). Max downmove (if any) @35-36.



Overall, Playing a long straddle with 3:1 call/put ratio seems to be a decent bet. Risky traders can even go for a long strangle with 3:1 call/put. 


No comments:

Post a Comment